A war meant to bend Tehran now traps Washington The Iranian crisis now carries all the familiar features of recent Western wars: overwhelming technological superiority, deep-strike capabilities, enormous military spending and, at the same time, uncertain political results, sometimes opposite to the stated goals. The United States has…
Posts tagged as “Geoeconomics”
The war in Ukraine as a symptom of a global crisis The long exchange between John Mearsheimer and Sergey Karaganov is not merely a discussion about the war in Ukraine. It is, in reality, a confrontation between two schools of strategic thought which, despite starting from different assumptions,…
Eurodrone, Dassault and Airbus: the Economic War Behind Europe’s Defence Crisis When strategic autonomy becomes an industrial battlefield The Eurodrone affair is not merely a technical disagreement between Dassault Aviation and Airbus. It must be understood as an episode of economic warfare within the European camp itself. What…
Iran, the Geography of Attrition and the New War of Corridors Why Tehran Is Weaker, but No Less Central The temptation is strong: to look at Iran today, observe sanctions, oil difficulties, American military pressure, the rise of Turkey, the energy reorganization of the Gulf, and conclude that…
Europe’s retreat and the return of geoeconomics Critical raw materials have become the point where the energy transition, industrial competition and strategic sovereignty converge. And this is where Europe is discovering its weakness. Between 1984 and 2023, European mining output fell by 56%, while Oceania, Asia, Latin America…
Survival as Strategy The real issue is not Donald Trump’s declaration of victory. The real issue is that behind that declaration one can already see a strategic vacuum. Washington can strike, destroy and wear down its adversary. But it still cannot convert military superiority into a definitive political…
No Longer a Local Crisis, but a Fracture in the System In the Western narrative, the war against Iran was supposed to be rapid, surgical, almost didactic: a few well-placed strikes, some infrastructure hit, a destabilized chain of command, and the usual belief that technological and military pressure…
Permanent War as the Architecture of the Middle East Syria did not collapse in a week. It collapsed under nearly thirty years of strategic pressure, thirteen years of war, and a long sequence of sanctions, infiltrations, covert operations, bombings, economic attrition, and diplomatic isolation. The gravest mistake would…
There is a point at which wars cease to be merely military campaigns and become systemic crises. In the conflict involving the United States, Israel and Iran, that point has a precise name: the Strait of Hormuz. But stopping at Hormuz, essential as it is, is still not…